Category: Baseball

Giants Get Fatter in Cincy

After losing the series closer Friday night to the red-hot New York Mets by a score of 6-5, the Giants have now enjoyed two wins over MLB’s worst run-margin team, the Cincinnati Reds. The first one was a 6-1 win on Sunday, topped by a 9-6 victory this afternoon. The G-men are now 14-13 and even with that marginal record are riding atop the NL West. Cincy has been outscored this season by 51 runs, by far the largest margin in the majors. They find themselves in the NL Central cellar, a full nine games out of first in a season that’s just 15% complete.

Updating my stat chart, the current state of offense vs pitching remains about dead even, with offense holding a slight impact edge.

GWP   GWO  GLP    GLO   RECORD

6.0       8.0     6.5      6.5      14-13

 

 

Ouch! Giants Fail to Appear at CitiField as Mets Use Them for Batting Practice

The Giants managed to act as if they weren’t at CitiField yesterday as they blended nicely into the turf and allowed the Mets to wipe their cleats on them, losing by one of their biggest margins in recent memory, 13-1.

Clearly, both pitching and hitting failed miserably. Jake Peavy lasted two innings, yielding six earned runs while walking three and striking out four. He is now 1-2 with a stratospheric 8.61 ERA. His long relief came in the person of Michael Broadway, who gave up the other six runs in the Mets’ 12-run third inning as he wound up going three and jacking his ERA to double digits (11.81).

Meanwhile, the Giants did manage nine scattered hits but scored only on Angel Pagan’s second homer of the season leading off the seventh.

The updated ShaferStat picture:

GWP   GWO  GLP    GLO   RECORD

5.0       7.0     5.5      6.5      12-12

(I managed to miss two days of Padres’ results and updates, thus the apparent discrepancy between this one and the most recent other post. Sorry ’bout that!)

So far my thesis that pitching would make a lesser impact on team success in 2016 than offense isn’t holding up as both are about equal. But it’s early days!

Giants Explode. Good Thing, Too, Because Pitching Was Off

The Giants rode their bats to a 16-hit outpouring to a 13-9 win over the hapless San Diego Padres this afternoon. This one goes squarely in the WBO (Won By Offense) column, bringing the new ShaferStat to:

GWP   GWO  GLP    GLO   RECORD

3.5        6.5       5        6         10-11

Jeff Samardzija got the start and the win off a truly mediocre performance. He gave up 5 earned runs over 5-2/3 innings, fanning seven while walking two. He bumped his season ERA to 3.86. It was his third win of the year against a solitary loss.

After a travel day off tomorrow, the Giants are in New York to square off against the red-hot Met who are currently sporting a six-game win streak and a 13-7 mark.

Giants Drop Another One Thanks to Pitching

The Giants took a tough loss yesterday, dropping a tense game to the Miami Marlins, 5-4. I’m chalking this one up to pitching breakdown.

As I figure it, any time the team scores four or more runs, they ought to win. Or maybe four runs is the exact dividing point; scoring more than four runs perhaps ought to be the cut off. Clearly, when ever the pitching crew yields five or more runs, something isn’t right.

In typical fashion, the Giants cracked out a dozen hits, which ought always to be enough to score a win at the major league level. But the Marlins notched 14 hits to gain the victory.

This comes on the heels of a Saturday 7-2 win over the Marlins in which Jake Peavy dominated  as a pitcher and did more than expected as a hitter, driving in two in support of his own cause. I put that one in the GWO (Games Won by Offense) column.

That makes the new ShaferStat look like this:

GWP   GWO  GLP    GLO   RECORD

3.5        5.5       5        6         9-11

Tonight, the Orange-and-Black play host to the San Diego Padres, who come in with a dismal 7-12 record in sole possession of the NL West basement. The Giants are going with their alleged ace, Madison Bumgarner, whose 2016 season so far is a bit of a flameout (1-2, 3.91 ERA).

 

Catching Up With the Giants. Whew

Going into today’s game at home with the Miami Marlins, the orange-and-black have dropped from 7-5 and second place in the NL West to a fourth-place record of 8-10. That span includes a four-game home sweep at the hands of the Arizona Diamondbacks, who are only now finding themselves at .500. Pretty dismal times.

The scores since we last checked the Giants’ pitching-vs-hitting stats:

April 17 – Lost to Dodgers due to hitting, 3-1

April 18 – Lost to D-Backs due to pitching, 9-7

April 19 – Lost to D-Backs due to hitting, 3-0

April 20 – Lost to D-Backs due to hitting, 2-1

April 21 –  lost to D-Backs due to both hitting and pitching, 6-2

April 22 – Beat Miami Marlins with hitting and pitching 4-1, but Samardzija gave up eight hits, so the pitching call on my part could be argued to be wrong.

Here are the new ShaferStats.

GWP   GWO  GLP    GLO   RECORD

3.5        4.5       4        6         8-10

This means that so far offense has been a bigger contributor than pitching to the Giants’ performance. Which is what I suggested at the beginning of the season. Looking only at wins, the offense is responsible for 56.3% of the wins.

It’s obviously too early to draw any conclusions but so far this exercise has been fun for me. I hope you’re enjoying it as well.

Tonight is a relatively rare Saturday evening game which I hope is available on TV in my area.

 

Cueto Sails Through a Great Outing as Giants Stop Dodgers

The Giants’ Johnny Cueto threw a stopper on the Dodgers tonight as he pitched a dazzler for a 4-3 win that was saved (with some stress) by Santiago Casilla in the ninth. Cueto won his third straight of the young season without a loss, holding LA to one run on three hits over 7-1/3 innings. He struck out seven and only walked two.

The G-Men did all the damage they needed over the first five innings and led 4-0 before the Dodgers started chipping away at the lead. Joe Panik was the only Giant with more than one hit on a night which saw the team fail to hit a homer for the first time in a while.

This win goes to the pitching staff, so here are the updated ShaferStats as of tonight’s victory:

GWP   GWO  GLP    GLO   RECORD

3         4       2.5      2.5       7-5

The Giants’ win coupled with the Rockies’ 6-2 defeat at the hands of the Cubs put SF back in a tie for first in the NL West with the Dodgers. The two teams finish a four-game set tomorrow night before the Giants head to Arizona to face the Diamondbacks.

San F

Giants Pitching and Offense Both Take a Hit in Dodgers’ Win

In a season first (by my definitions), the Giants lost a game to the LA Dodgers this evening in SoCal that can be nearly equally attributed to hitting and pitching, with enough blame to go around for the defense as well. In other words, a highly incompetently played ball game all around.

The final score was 7-3, so you’d expect the pitching to be more at fault than the hitting (in keeping with my prediction). However, only four of those seven runs were earned as the Giants’ defense committed an uncharacteristic three miscues behind starter and loser Madison Bumgarner (1-1).

I decided on reflection that rather than create a new category for my custom tracking stats this year, I’d give two categories a half point each, so the new rating looks like this:

GWP   GWO  GLP    GLO   RECORD

2         4       2.5      2.5       6-5

I have a sense this has settled down from a tracking perspective so we can just use the numbers going forward without continuous commentary on or tweaking of the system.

Tonight’s loss drops the G-Men into third place, a full game back of the Dodgers and a half-game behind the Rockies.

The Giants’ hitting was also pathetic tonight. They had only one RBI on a hit as two of their three runs scored on rare Clayton Kershaw wild pitches. On the upside for Bumgarner, he posted a flashy 7:1 strikeout-to-walk ratio which, as far as I’m concerned is the most meaningful pitching stat we have. His WHIP for the night, however, was an inflated 1.63, so not what I’d call a quality start.

 

Scoring 6 Twice in a Row Produces Nada as Giants Pitching Plummets

Keeping up their pace of the season so far, the San Francisco Giants scored almost at will last two games, running up six runs in each of those contests. But, as has become their pattern, six wasn’t enough. The Colorado Rockies notched 18 hits on Wednesday and 13 yesterday, resulting in losses of 10-6 and 11-6, respectively. Even granting that Coor’s Field is a hitters park, those numbers are unacceptable.

The Giants pitchers have now run up a dismal 4.65 ERA, which is the eighth-worst in baseball. Their WHIP (walks plus hits per inning pitched) is 1.49, tied for third worst in the sport. (Interestingly, the two teams lower than them are the D-Backs and the Padres, division rivals, which may explain why they remain tied for first despite this abysmal pitching.)

I’ve talked before about their offense, which has been explosive. Today, a couple of newish stats caught my eye. With runners in scoring position, the Giants are hitting a third-best .379 and with that situation and two outs, they lead baseball with a .395 average! So they are hitting well, hitting in the clutch, and still getting beaten by their terrible pitching.

Here’s the last standings by my new stats:

GDP   GDO

5         5

But now that we have enough games in the bag, I realize I need to change this up a bit. What I really need are four categories:

GWP (Games Won by Pitching)

GWO (Games Won by Offense)

GLP (Games Lost Thanks to Pitching)

GLO (Games Won by Offense)

Ultimately I may have to add a fifth category for games won or lost where neither pitching nor offense was the primary explanation.

So catching up with the team as of today, here are the new standings, which I’ll continue to track through the season. A reminder: my thesis is that the Giants will win more games with hitting than they win with pitching this season. Conversely, they will lose more on poor pitching than on anemic offense.

GWP   GWO  GLP   GLO

2          4       2        2

So my first premise is holding nicely; my second one is, as they say in politics, “too close to call.”

Stay tuned. It’s the Dodgers again tonight.

Giants Keep Average Scoring Sizzling With 7 at Coor’s

The Giants handed it to the Rockies at Coor’s Field tonight, winning an easy 7-2 win. The orange-and-black racked up 13 hits in the one-sided win, which kept them atop the NL West at 6-2.

My updated stats on the team’s offensive vs defensive impact so far:

GDP   GDO

3         5

So things are starting to look up for my pre-season prediction that the Giants would rely more on hitting than on pitching this season. With another two at hitter-friendly Coors, I expect the trend to continue.

 

Giants Potent Offense Continues, Sets Torrid NL West Pace

The Giants’ 9-6 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers at AT&T Park yesterday afternoon — a game I was unable to watch thanks to the greed of Major League Baseball — gives them a mark of 3-3 in games decided by pitching vs. those decided by offense. Or, to use my new shorthand:

GDP   GDO

3        3

(See this post for an explanation why I’m tracking this particular creative stat this season.)

As I was scanning the standings this morning, something really caught my eye. The five teams in the NL West are all among the highest-scoring in all of baseball. The Giants lead all teams with 43 runs in six games so far, followed very closely by the Dodgers (42), then the Rockies (35), the Diamondbacks at 33 and the Padres at 32. That puts all of them in the top 10 in scoring so far in the majors. LA is third, while the others are 6-7-8 respectively.

Interestingly, the Rockies lead baseball in runs allowed with 51 and no other team outside the NL West has given up as many as 40 runs although the Pods (40) and D-Backs (47) both have in excess of that number.

It seems like it’s the Wild and Woolly West so far, with the Giants riding atop the pack.