Tag: Giants hitting

Final Week of Spring: How Are the Giants Doing?

 

(Edited from first publication in which I completely screwed up the end of Spring Training and treated the exhibition season enders with the A’s as opening games for the season. Chalk it up to a Senior Moment.)

Opening Day of the 2017 Major League Baseball season approaches quickly (the Giants open Sunday, April 2, at Arizona in a weird four-games-over-five-days series), which means Spring Training stats are finally starting to have some meaning.

As the longest Spring Training in MLB history finally winds down, the Giants find themselves with a 14-15 record going into today’s (March 26) game against the White Sox.

So how’s the roster shaping up?

Actually, everything is pretty much set. If the season were opening today, you’d see this lineup (not in batting order):

  • Jarrett Parker in left
  • Denard Span in center
  • Hunter Pence in right
  • Eduardo Nunez at third
  • Brandon Crawford at short
  • Joe Panik at second
  • Brandon Belt at first
  • Buster Posey behind the plate

The five-man rotation has been set for some time, though the fifth slot is still a little soft and could go a couple of different ways:

  • Madison Bumgarner
  • Johnny Cueto
  • Matt Moore
  • Jeff Samardzija
  • Matt Cain (or Ty Blach, who’s made this really competitive)

The bullpen is a bit unsettled but the team’s current depth chart has reliefers in the following order:

  • Mark Melancon
  • Derek Law
  • Hunter Strickland
  • George Kontos
  • Cory Gearrin
  • Josh Osich
  • Steven Okert
  • Albert Suarez

That leaves four spots on the Opening Day 25-man roster. Appearing to have the best inside tracks on those slots are:

  • Mac Williamson (OF)
  • Conor Gillaspie (IF)
  • Kelby Tomlinson (IF)
  • Gorkys Hernandez (OF)

Pitching Stats

Overall, the Giants are below the middle of the National League in almost every pitching statistic. This is in part because they’ve given an awful lot of guys a chance to pitch who just clearly weren’t ready. But it is also due to established pitchers not being as ready as you’d expect them to be for Spring. Here are the team totals in some selected categories and where they stand in the majors  (which, recall, includes 32 teams):

Statistic Giants Rank
ERA 4.84 19th
BA .279 24th
WHIP* 1.48 24th
Strikeouts 202 24th
Walks 90 11th
Home Runs 18 T-28th

*WHIP=Walks plus hits per inning pitched. In other words, how many times the pitcher lets batters get on base per inning. Walks includes hit batsmen.

As I said, not encouraging.

Hitting Stats

How about the offense?

Here’s a similar table comparing team hitting against all others in MLB.

Statistic Giants Rank
BA .241 26th
HR 30 11th
SLG* .409 20th
OBP** .302 27th
OPS*** .712 23rd
Walks 74 25th
Strikeouts 2001 21st

SLG=Slugging Percentage, calculated as total bases divided by at bats

OBP=On Base Percentage, meant to determine the number of times a batter gets on base per at bat. The official formula is: OBP = (Hits + Walks + Hit by Pitch) / (At Bats + Walks + Hit by Pitch + Sacrifice Flies)

OPS=On Base Plus Slugging, designed to measure the ability of a player both to get on base and to hit for power. As you can see in the above table, the Giants have an OBP of .302 and an SLG of .409. The total is rounded to .712.

Clearly, as I’ve said several times this Spring Training Season of commentary, these numbers are all but meaningless. They certainly aren’t good predictors of where the season might go, any more than their won-loss record is. But I pore over them, take them apart, share them with you because…that’s what SABRmetricians do! (Go ahead, ask me.)

NEXT UP: I’ll provide detailed spring stats for the likely 25-man roster.

Two Weeks Into Spring, Giants Look Mediocre. But…

Time to check in on the SF Giants and their Spring Training adventures. After breaking an 8-game losing streak on Monday, March 6, the orange-and-black stand at 6-8 on the season (I’m not counting their win over Puerto Rico in the WBC). Repeat mantra: spring training won-loss records don’t matter until the last 10-14 days. Neither do stats.

Still, the Giants aren’t showing a lot of spring in their step yet. It’s too early to be concerned but serious fans need to take notice.

As a team, the Giants are hitting .238, which places them 26th among the 32 MLB teams. Their OBP of .314 is 25th “best” and the team’s SLG is a fairly anemic .387, good for 22 on the list.

From the mound, the picture is only slightly better. Team ERA is 4.65, 22nd in the league, while opponents hit .265 against our staff, which has a mediocre WHIP of 1.46. Those last two numbers place them 19th and 19th, respectively, among MLB teams.

Not exactly reasons to have a lot of optimism. But…. <insert meaningless spring training mantra here>.

On the individual player side of things, I’m watching the battle for the fifth starter role as well as the fight for third base and left field.

SF Giants Starting Prospect Ty Blach

Veteran Matt Cain and Ty Blach are contending for the #5 spot in the starting rotation. Right now, Blach is blowing Cain away. Both pitchers have appeared in three games, both have thrown about 7 innings. So the stats are comparable. But Blach bests Cain in every meaningful category: ERA (Blach at 1.35, Cain at 7.36), Hits allowed (7, 10 [tied for most on the team]), and WHIP (1.05, 1.50). So while neither of them is setting anything on fire in the Cactus League, it seems obvious that if Bruce Bochy had to make the call today, Blach would get the nod.

The battle at third is between Eduardo Nunez and Conor Gillaspie. So far, Gillaspie is giving Nunez fits. At the plate, Gillaspie leads the team with a .444 BA over four games and 9 ABs. His slash line is .444/.548/.778. He has one homer in those nine at-bats and has driven in three. Nunez, OTOH, ranks 25th among those in camp with a .154 BA with no homers and a single RBI.

Meanwhile, left field is up for grabs and the two prime contenders appear to be Jarrett Parker and Matt Williamson. This has proven so far to be the hottest competition. Williamson is slightly ahead of Parker with a .304 batting average (.304/.385/.565), two homers, two RBIs, and five runs scored in 23 at bats over eight games. Parker has been at bat 21 times over eight games. His anemic .190 BA is offset by the extra base hits he’s piled up including two homers. That gives him a power-laden slash line of .190/.370/.524.He has 7 RBIs and has scored four runs. At this point, you’d have to say Parker hits well for average, but Williamson is the power hitter. Which do you go with? This one needs more data before even a guess can be made.

That’s it, Giants fans. Today, the G-Men are playing a split-squad combo against the Reds and the D-Backs.

Go, Giants!

Giants Open Cactus League With Two Come-from-Behind Wins

Yep, Spring Training games mean nothing. Less than nothing. But, still….  The Giants opened the 2017 Cactus League with two come-from-behind victories over the Cincinnati Reds and the defending World Champion Chicago Cubs (still can’t believe that’s not an #alternativeFact).

Chris Marrero

On opening spring day, they entered the ninth inning trailing the Reds 4-3. Chris Marrero hit a 3-run walk-off  homer to give the G-Men a 6-4 victory. The next day, Saturday, the Cubs were in Scottsdale (Cubs were, however, split-squad). The Cubbies were up 3-0 in the fifth, but the Giants tied it in the bottom of the frame t=and then had a four-run sixth to put the game out of reach. The final: 8-6.

Then on Day 3, the Giants had a much easier day of it. They took the lead for good in the third and won it 9-5 pretty handily.

The good news is that the Giants’ offense has been performing well. Scoring 23 runs on 31 hits, which suggests timely hitting. The (not unexpected) bad news is that pitching has been a bit disappointing.

In Game 1, Madison Bumgarner gave up two runs in his only inning, for an ERA of 18.0. Then NRI Roberto Gomez came in and went one inning, giving up another run. Game 2 saw Matt Cain draw the start and toss two pretty nice innings. Ty Blach came on in the third and gave up another run over two innings but the biggest disappointment was Josh Osich, who yielded two earned runs in a single inning. Matt Moore started Sunday’s game and gave up one run in 1-⅓ innings of work. He gave way to Matt Reynolds, who didn’t help his cause any by giving up three earned runs in the remaining ⅔ of the second for an ERA of 40.50. So far, Manager Bruce Bochy and Pitching Coach Dave Righetti have taken a look at 23 different pitchers.

As I said at the beginning, these things tend to be meaningless until the last week or so of Spring Training, but hardened fans watch and fret over them anyway.

 

Giants Potent Offense Continues, Sets Torrid NL West Pace

The Giants’ 9-6 win over the Los Angeles Dodgers at AT&T Park yesterday afternoon — a game I was unable to watch thanks to the greed of Major League Baseball — gives them a mark of 3-3 in games decided by pitching vs. those decided by offense. Or, to use my new shorthand:

GDP   GDO

3        3

(See this post for an explanation why I’m tracking this particular creative stat this season.)

As I was scanning the standings this morning, something really caught my eye. The five teams in the NL West are all among the highest-scoring in all of baseball. The Giants lead all teams with 43 runs in six games so far, followed very closely by the Dodgers (42), then the Rockies (35), the Diamondbacks at 33 and the Padres at 32. That puts all of them in the top 10 in scoring so far in the majors. LA is third, while the others are 6-7-8 respectively.

Interestingly, the Rockies lead baseball in runs allowed with 51 and no other team outside the NL West has given up as many as 40 runs although the Pods (40) and D-Backs (47) both have in excess of that number.

It seems like it’s the Wild and Woolly West so far, with the Giants riding atop the pack.

 

 

See? I TOLD You it Would Be All About Offense!

The Giants won their season opener at Milwaukee today by a score of 12-3.  They banged out 15 hits including four home runs.  In the eighth, with two out, Span, Panik and Posey went yard back to back to back, the first time that had been accomplished on Opening Day since 1997!

Meanwhile, Bumgarner, who notched the win, had a bit of a rough outing, yielding 3 runs over the minimum 5 innings for a starting ERA of 5.40. More troubling, he walked 5 while striking out 6 and serving up two round-trippers

The Giants left seven runners in scoring position but still managed a RISP of 4-for-9, a respectable .444 average.

Span knocked in 5 of the runs and Duffy collected another 4.

All in all, a good offensive performance, albeit against the puny Brewers.