Tag: John Lynch

Maybe Niners Punt on QB, Wait in the Weeds for 2018

One of the more interesting suggestions for the 49ers dealing with their quarterback vacuum for 2017 comes from Akash Anavarathan at NinerNoise.  He suggests that the Niners pick up a veteran as a short-term placeholder, get the best available QB in the second round of the draft, and wait for next year to look for a franchise quarterback.

As a strategy, it doesn’t sound too bad. If you go into a deal with someone like, say, Brian Hoyer, Matt Schaub or Josh McCown,  with both parties clear that it’s a short term deal with managed expectations, that might be a tenable solution. With all of the talent gaps the team faces in 2017, the likelihood of anything resembling a break-even season is really remote. This clearly is a longer rebuilding project.

Ravens QB Matt Schaub

Out of that crop of three veteran QBs, my vote goes to Schaub. Hoyer has the best stats of all three (QB rating last year of 91.4, career 84.8) and he’s the youngest, at 31, but I have a feeling he wouldn’t be interested in a deal with the Niners that didn’t give him long-term potential. McCown is just a mediocre QB with a career QB rating of just 78.2 (anything below mid-80s is pretty poor). He’s only had one good season, in 2013, and since then he’s rattled around and performed poorly.

Schaub, on the other hand, is not quite over the hill at 36 (though he’s approaching it fast), he has a decent career QB rating of 89.1 and although he’s fallen off the last season or two, he still has the tools and stamina to put together one more decent season.

So, the reasoning goes, why rush it? Why trade high draft picks this year for a replacement quarterback who is not likely to be a long-term solution?

Texas Tech QB Patrick Mahomes

But you can’t go into the season with one quarterback. We need at least two. Which is where the second-round draft choice option comes into play. Anavarathan suggests that in the second round, the  team pickup Patrick Mahomes out of  Texas Tech. That’s a bit of a risk, on at least two levels. First, there are no guarantees he’ll be around in the second round — his college stats are astounding and although he’s not in the top 10 quarterback options in the minds of most scouts, on paper at least he looks quite good, particularly in comparison with those who rank higher but seem less ready. Second, he’s difficult to forecast as an NFL quarterback because of the system he plays under at Texas Tech.

If they go with the veteran interim solution as the starter and nurture Mahomes as his backup, and assuming good coaching to support the rookie, that might get us through 2017. Frankly, I’d feel a lot better with a third quarterback but that may be a luxury the Niners can’t afford this year.

What, then, about the need for a franchise quarterback sometime in the near future? Anavarathan points out that there are a number of really sterling candidates in the class of 2018. Two of them are practicing their art right now in the state of California. Specifically, he recommends keeping a close eye on Sam Darnold, a redshirt sophomore at USC, who’s heading into his second season as the regular starter, and UCLA Quarterback Josh Rosen.  Overall, the 2018 draft looks far more promising than this year’s crop of slightly above average quarterbacks.

There is one flaw in this overall strategy. For it to work, the Niners almost have to try to have a losing season so they can get a high enough first round draft pick to have a shot at one of these hot new quarterbacks in that draft. But “trying to lose” is never a good strategy and often results in clear injuries. To say nothing of how it makes the fans feel.

What none of us wants to see is for newly minted GM John Lynch and Head Coach Kyle Shanahan to blow any high draft picks on a mediocre pickup. As I’ve said many times, the Niners’ talent needs this year are so extensive that they should just be looking to pick up the best athletes they can because finding a place for them on the field won’t be difficult.

This is a real challenge for Lynch, who’s never held a front office position in his career. It will be very telling in terms of his viability as a long-term solution at the GM spot.

 

Niners’ Lynch’s First Hire Gives Me Hope

When the 49ers announced they’d hired rookie front-office guy John Lynch as their new general manager recently, I took a jaundiced view. The team, I said, is about to enter a rebuilding period that will likely last 3-5 seasons. What they needed in the front office was a guy with some real football savvy, particularly when it comes to evaluating talent. Lynch has no track record in that department at all, so I said I didn’t believe his hiring was a good move, particularly since Jed York, the Niners’ owner, gave the guy a six-year deal.

Now Lynch may have begun proving me — and many other equally skeptical fans and observers — wrong. In his first hire, he recruited Denver Bronco director of college scouting Adam Peters to be the team’s new VP of Player Personnel. In that role, presumably, Peters will have significant input into draft, trade, recruiting and roster decisions. If so, this guy’s credentials and track record suggest he might be just what Lynch needs to shore up one of the new GM’s most glaring weaknesses: an unfamiliarity with NFL rosters and upcoming collegiate players.

I don’t think Peters’ hiring accelerates the Niners’ rebuilding schedule, but it might bring a new degree of sanity and logic to the table, which can only be a good thing when you have a numbskull like York at the top of the pyramid.

 

“One of the Most Bizarre Hirings in NFL History”: Niners Bring in Rookie GM

In what Matt Barbato of all22.com called, quite correctly, “one of the most bizarre hirings in NFL history,” the San Francisco 49ers just hired a former player with zero front office experience to be their new general manager.

This is almost a stunning to football fans in general and to Niners’ loyalists in particular as Trump’s upset of Hillary in November 2016.

New 49ers Rookie GM, John Lynch

New 49ers Rookie GM, John Lynch

ESPN’s Adam Schefter earlier reported that former All-Pro linebacker John Lynch got the job at the urging of the presumptive (and apparently presumptuous) new, as-yet-unnamed head coach Kyle Shanahan.

As Barbato summarized the story: “Lynch woke up one day and thought it’d be a good idea if he became San Francisco’s GM, even though he has no front office experience. The FOX NFL commentator called a head coach who hasn’t been hired yet to pitch him the idea. Now, the nine-time Pro Bowl safety is the general manager of the San Francisco 49ers.”

Yup.

New 49ers Head Coach Kyle Shanahan

New 49ers Head Coach Kyle Shanahan

The Niners had three veteran front-office people in their sights for the GM position, created at the end of the 2016 season, any of whom would have been a more intelligent, predictable, safe pick for the post. But from the beginning CEO Jed York (the guy really ought to be replaced but, of course, can’t be) had emphasized he was looking to fill those two positions with guys who were sympatico. So if Lynch (who has been publicly critical of Shanahan’s “arrogance” by the way, although in the next breath he said he’d “hire that buy in a minute”) pushed hard on Shanahan and the new head-coach-in-waiting-for-the-Super-Bowl-to-be-over pressured York, then there’s at least a glimmer of comprehension for the selection.

But that’s pushing it.

I was sort of hoping maybe York would give Lynch a short leash. Like a 90-day trial period? Wrong again! Just like the Donald, this series of surprises just keeps coming. The contract is for a nearly unprecedented six years! WTF?

This ought to be fun. A rebuilding period calls for front-office savvy which the Niners now lack in spades.

Yeesh.